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Be Warned however! I often do not think the same as most fans. I don't just follow what they say on the radio shows or what I hear from other fans. I use my own brain, I analyze the subject, and I use logic to decide what to believe. Often I find this leads to a conclusion that doesn't match what the main stream media is pushing.

Sunday, December 2, 2018

Stafford Does More With Less than Any Elite Quarterback

Stafford has done more with less than any elite quarterback since 1995.

I pulled some stats on defensive rankings and run game rankings for every team since 1995. That is 23 years of football. For each team, I took where they ranked in the NFL for each year in the following categories.

DEFENSE
Defense Points Allowed per game
Defense Yards Allowed per Play
OFFENSE
Rushing Attempts per game
Rushing yards per play
Rushing Yards per game
Rushing Touchdowns scored

Then I took these 6 rankings and got the average for them for a Total Support for the QB ranking.

These are statistics available to me that support a QB and can make it easier or harder for him to succeed. These same exact stats are used for every team every year for all QBs. There is no bias in this. (I will add OL Stats when I find good ones)

The Worst Support for any QB since 1995 (300 attempts or more) was...  2014 Derek Carr - Oak with a support ranking of 29.0 and his QB Rating that year was 76.6

To give a clearer picture, this is where his team ranked in the NFL for each of those stats....
32nd - Defense Points Allowed per game
20th - Defense Yards Allowed per Play
32nd - Rushing Attempts per game
26th - Rushing yards per play
32nd - Rushing Yards per game
32nd - Rushing Touchdowns scored

32+20+32+26+32+32 = 174 / 6 = 29.0

In case you arent following, the higher the number, the worse support a QB received from his run game and defense.

Just for kicks and giggles, Joey Harrington ranked 3rd in 2003 with a support ranking of 28.7. His QB Rating was 63.9

A total of 46 QBs have had a support ranking of 25.0 or higher. These are the  7 QBs who kept a QBR of 90+ with a support of 25+
2017 Matt Stafford Det - Support 26.7 - QBR 99.3
2015 Matt Stafford DET - Support 25.5 - QBR 97.0
2008 Kurt Warner ARI ..- Support 26.2 - QBR 96.9
2012 Drew Brees NO ....- Support 25.0 - QBR 96.3
2016 Matt Stafford DET - Support 25.5 - QBR 96.3
2015 Philip Rivers SD .- Support 27.7 - QBR 93.8
2012 Tony Romo DAL ....- Support 28.0 - QBR 90.5

To give you some more perspective, this is what some elite QB have had to deal with in their careers....

Drew Brees
10.9 or under = 4 times
11-15.9 = 4 Times
16-24.9 = 7 Times
25+ = 1 Time

Tom Brady
10.9 or under = 6 times
11-15.9 = 5 Times
16-24.9 = 5 Times
25+ = 0 Times

Aaron Rodgers
10.9 or under = 1 time
11-15.9 = 3 Times
16-24.9 = 4 Times
25+ = 0 Times

Matt Ryan
10.9 or under = 1 time
11-15.9 = 4 Times
16-24.9 = 4 Times
25+ = 0 Times

Philip Rivers
10.9 or under = 3 times
11-15.9 = 0 Times
16-24.9 = 8 Times
25+ = 1 Time

Peyton Manning
10.9 or under = 2 times
11-15.9 = 7 Times
16-24.9 = 7 Times
25+ = 1 Times

Ben Roethlisberger
10.9 or under = 4 times
11-15.9 = 4 Times
16-24.9 = 4 Times
25+ = 0 Times

Matthew Stafford
10.9 or under = 0 times
11-15.9 = 0 Times
16-24.9 = 4 Times
25+ = 4 Times

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